Nicaragua - why CAFTA makes things
worse
"...sometimes we buy an egg, but not very often because we are very
poor..." he had walked with his two small children for over two hours
in order to see the visiting paediatrician. The children were
underweight, their clothes threadbare. The doctor had asked what his
family normally ate. Sometimes beans sometimes rice, eggs not very
often. Earlier one woman had come in with her little girl. She could
hardly speak she was so tired and hungry.
These people had walked for hours in the fierce sun for the chance to
get some medicine for their children. One had no need of a medical
degree for the diagnosis - sheer hunger. Neo-liberal politicians can
take satisfaction in those starving people. The "free market" is doing
its work.
There in Macuelizo, about a half hour's drive from the departmental
capital Ocotal, people were better off than places further west, Santa
Maria, Somotillo, where tortillas and salt are often enough all there
is to eat. Even in urban barrios in large cities like Ocotal and
Esteli, plenty of families often fail to light a fire to prepare a meal
every day. Why waste precious firewood with no food to cook?
That reality is common throughout Central America and indicates why
fancy sounding treaties like the Central American Free Trade Agreement
have nothing to offer the poor majority. They are treaties in the
interests of already wealthy local elites and foreign corporate
investors. The official logic advanced to justify CAFTA was that by
opening up its economies even more than it had done already, the region
would attract investment, increase productive capacity and generate
employment.
But Mexico's experience of "free trade" with the US, indicates clearly
what is likely to happen. Foreign investment will indeed increase but
the general population will not benefit. Increased liquidity in local
financial markets will sloosh out of the country in capital flight.
Investors will stick with high-profit, low-risk sectors, their activity
characterised above all by short-term volatility. Sectors that have
been starved of investment before will most likely stay that way.
Subsidised US agricultural products like rice and maize will flood
local markets. Small agricultural producers in the region will be
reduced to subsistence farming since only medium and large agricultural
businesses will be able to get credit. That has already been happening
for years in Nicaragua. Depopulation is chronic in rural areas as
able-bodied people migrate in search of liveable incomes, to nearby
urban centres, to Costa Rica and other neighbouring countries, to North
America.
But if rural areas depopulate, who will tend the environment? Already
much of north western Nicaragua, south western Honduras and south
eastern El Salvador is virtual desert. Each year farming communities
find it harder and harder to survive. Cash-crops like sesame are
precarious. Growing basic grains is a lottery. As the hurricane seasons
become more destructive year by year, environmental degradation and
rural depopulation become more acute. By now the process in the worst
affected areas is irreversible.
In Mexico after over ten years of the North American Free Trade
Agreement the varied costs of the slump in agriculture have tended to
outweigh any strengthening in light industrial activity like the
maquilas, or service sectors like tourism. Likewise in Central America,
increased government borrowing to finance structural measures necessary
to implement CAFTA will be compounded by a drop in revenue from
vanishing import taxes. Local taxpayers will once again pick up the tab
to finance "free markets" - not just in increased indirect taxes to
finance widening public sector budget deficits but also in even more
reduced public services than they get already.
The idea that increased investment activity will generate sufficient
new tax revenues to offset increased public sector costs generated by
CAFTA is crazy. Local business elites and US corporate investors will
just kick their profits out of reach of national governments to
wherever suits them best. Ordinary people will feel the pinch as
businesses increase prices in order to offset their own increased
costs. The nonsensical logic of CAFTA yanks public policy away from any
coherent planning and accountability so as to prioritize unaccountable
corporate greed.
Healthcare, education and other public needs, like transport or
environmental policy, have already been delegitimized and neglected in
Nicaragua for over fifteen years.The energy and environmental crises
will become steadily more acute over the next four or five years. As
they do so, the irrelevance and foolishness of prioritizing ruthless
local elites and foreign corporate investors through measures like
CAFTA will become obvious. In a very short while, the importance of
meeting fundamental public policy objectives is bound to reassert
itself sharply.
Issues like food security, adequate healthcare, efficient public
education and socially and environmentally appropriate transport and
energy policy will not be resolved by "free markets". They require
forceful government intervention as well as broad public participation
and support. A neo-colonial managerial class based in international
financial institutions like the International Monetary Fund, the World
Bank and the Inter-American Development Bank has tended to usurp
government functions and promote corporate friendly measures like CAFTA
and Plan Puebla Panama. They have done so with appalling complacency.
Deepening the discredited "free market" policies imposed on weak
Central American governments over the last twenty years will only
exacerbate existing deep-seated failures. CAFTA is irrelevant to
people's basic needs. The vast majority of parents have to make ever
greater sacrifices from one year to the next in order to give their
children the best they can. One has to wonder at the contempt for human
life of the people responsible for such misery. Central America's
history demonstrates such contempt is not sustainable without damaging
and destructive political consequences.